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AO

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

24 horas
(mm)
10.6
10.2
13.1
14.0
11.7
12.1
9.0
13.7
13.8
13.6
12.3
13.0

mm/hr

0.44
0.43
0.55
0.58
0.49
0.50
0.38
0.57
0.58
0.57
0.51
0.54
0.51
0.07

3.259,6 2.821,7 3.016,6 1.993,2 3.532,3 3.628,6 3.025,1 3.290,8 3.890,5 (b) 3,632.1
3259.6
2821.7
3016.6
1993.2
3532.3
3628.6
3025.1
3290.8
3890.5
3632.1

13.0384
11.2868
12.0664
7.9728
14.1292
14.5144
12.1004
13.1632
15.562
14.5284

13.04
11.29
12.07
7.97
14.13
14.51
12.1
13.16
15.56
14.52

25,1 3.290,8 3.890,5 (b) 3,632.1

3.25
2.13
3.04
1.5
2.92
1.83
2.04
2.46
3.38
2.29
2.484
0.64

AO
1
1992
2
1993
3
1994
4
1995
5
1996
6
1997
7
1998
8
1999
9
2000
10
2001
11
2002
12
2003
13
2004
14
2005
15
2006
16
2007
17
2008
18
2009
2010
19
2011
20
2012
21
Numero de registros
Promedio
Desviacin standard

PP
13.04
11.29
12.07
7.97
14.13
14.51
12.1
13.16
15.56
10.6
10.2
13.1
14.0
11.7
12.1
9.0
13.7
13.8
13.6
12.3
13.0
21
12.43
1.85

Frecuencia
Relativa
Acumulada
0.0455
0.0909
0.1364
0.1818
0.2273
0.2727
0.3182
0.3636
0.4091
0.4545
0.5000
0.5455
0.5909
0.6364
0.6818
0.7273
0.7727
0.8182
0.8636
0.9091
0.9545

Frecuencia
Teorica
Acumulada
0.6598
0.3203
0.4835
0.0005
0.8009
0.8366
0.4895
0.6784
0.9071
0.1838
0.1186
0.6692
0.7872
0.4069
0.4895
0.0142
0.7525
0.7645
0.7399
0.5291
0.6534

O DE PRECIPITACIONES MXIMAS EN 24 HORAS CON PERIODO DE RETORNO ASOCIADO

Metodo de Gumbel. Valores de Yn y Sn


n
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

my

sy

0.4286
0.4458
0.4558
0.469
0.4774
0.4843
0.4902

0.6435
0.7315
0.7928
0.8388
0.8749
0.9043
0.9288

n
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

Estimacin de mximas diarias para un Periodo de retorno T


Estadistica de Gumbel
my
sy

0.5236
1.0628

my

sy

0.4952
0.4996
0.5035
0.507
0.51
0.5128
0.5157

0.9497
0.9676
0.9833
0.9972
1.0095
1.0206
1.0316

En donde
a
b

0.58
11.52
50

Mxima 24
Horas

20.12

Periodo retorno

BONDAD DE AJUSTE (Funcion de Gumbel)


Coeficiente Correlacion R2
R2 :

0.0156

Test de Kolmogorov Smirnov


D supremo :
D tabla 95 :

0.177
0.287

Significativo al 95 %

CALCULO DE MAGNITUDES E INTENSIDADES


Magnitudes de precipitacin mximas (mm) segn el periodo y duracin estimada

(Espildora)
Duracin
Tiempo
Coef. De Duracin
Periodo de retorno
2
5
10
15
20
50

5
0.26

10
0.4

15
0.53

30
0.7

45
0.86

0.71
0.82
0.90
0.94
0.97
1.07

1.09
1.27
1.39
1.45
1.50
1.64

1.45
1.68
1.84
1.92
1.98
2.18

1.91
2.22
2.42
2.54
2.62
2.87

2.35
2.73
2.98
3.12
3.22
3.53

Intensidades mximas (mm) segn el periodo y duracin estimada

(Espildora)
Tiempo
2
5
10
15
20

5.00
8.51
9.89
10.80
11.32
11.68

10.00
6.55
7.61
8.31
8.71
8.98

15.00
5.78
6.72
7.34
7.69
7.94

30.00
3.82
4.44
4.85
5.08
5.24

45.00
3.13
3.64
3.97
4.16
4.29

12.81

9.86

8.71

5.75

4.71

Curva de Duracin - Intensidad - Frecuencia


14
12
10

Intensidad (mm/hr)

50

8
6
4
2
0
0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Tiempo de Concentracin (min)

90

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

my

sy

17

0.5181

18

0.5202

19
20
21
22
23

0.522
0.5236
0.5252
0.5268
0.5283

1.0411
1.0493
1.0566
1.0628
1.0696
1.0754
1.0811

0.009
0.114
0.158
0.320
0.426
0.513
0.557
0.639
0.753
0.839
0.916
0.932

0.077
0.154
0.231
0.308
0.385
0.462
0.538
0.615
0.692
0.769
0.846
0.923

o y duracin estimada

60
1
2.73
3.17
3.46
3.63
3.74
4.11

60.00
2.73
3.17
3.46
3.63
3.74

120
1.41
3.85
4.47
4.88
5.12
5.28
5.79

120.00
1.92
2.23
2.44
2.56
2.64

24 Horas
4.9
13.37
15.53
16.97
17.78
18.34
20.12

24 Horas
13.37
15.53
16.97
17.78
18.34

Pmax
12.1523181
14.1215117
15.4252892
16.1608695
16.6759039
18.2946963

ln(ln)
-0.36651292
-1.49993999
-2.25036733
-2.67375209
-2.97019525
-3.90193866

LN
0.69314718
0.22314355
0.10536052
0.06899287
0.05129329
0.02020271

5
7
10

0.26
0.4

4.11

2.90

Frecuencia

2 aos
5 aos
10 aos
15 aos
20 aos
50 aos

90

100

110

120

20.12

fn
3.5000
18
21
30
35.4
40
42.5
47.5
56
65
78
82

0.077
0.154
0.231
0.308
0.385
0.462
0.538
0.615
0.692
0.769
0.846
0.923
0.5
0.9889

fn-f
0.009
0.114
0.158
0.32
0.427
0.513
0.557
0.639
0.753
0.839
0.916
0.932

0.068
0.04
0.073
-0.012
-0.042
-0.051
-0.019
-0.024
-0.061
-0.07
-0.07
-0.009
-0.177

-0.423
-0.346
-0.269
-0.192
-0.115
-0.038
0.038
0.115
0.192
0.269
0.346
0.423
-1.44329E-15

0.000
0.000
0.000
0.024
0.813
0.982
0.995
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000

2
1.25
1.11111111
1.07142857
1.05263158
1.02040816

0.065408163
0.065408163
0.065408163
0.065408163
0.065408163
0.065408163

0.87
1.02
1.11
1.16
1.20
1.32

Interpolando Valores
0.68 y1=
0.683 y2=
0.69 y3=

x1=
x2=
x3=
x2=

0.683

0.805
0.81
0.821

Q=
n=
S=
D=
Q=

0.94
3.20

2.67
0.009
0.0082

1.05