Oscar Lopez Garcia

M
HP
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

192.00
188.57
180.00
168.00
168.00
165.00
165.00
154.29
144.00
135.00
123.77
120.00
120.00
120.00
120.00

15

Tr
16.000000
8.000000
5.333333
4.000000
3.200000
2.666667
2.285714
2.000000
1.777778
1.600000
1.454545
1.333333
1.230769
1.142857
1.066667

P
0.063
0.125
0.188
0.250
0.313
0.375
0.438
0.500
0.563
0.625
0.688
0.750
0.813
0.875
0.938
MEDIA
DESVESTA

LOG HP
2.283301
2.275473
2.255273
2.225309
2.225309
2.217484
2.217484
2.188338
2.158362
2.130334
2.092615
2.079181
2.079181
2.079181
2.079181
2.17240
0.07690

(Xi-Xm)^2
0.012299
0.010624
0.006868
0.002799
0.002799
0.002033
0.002033
0.000254
0.000197
0.001770
0.006366
0.008690
0.008690
0.008690
0.008690
0.08280
COEF. ASIM.

(Xi-Xm)^3
0.001364
0.001095
0.000569
0.000148
0.000148
0.000092
0.000092
0.000004
-0.000003
-0.000074
-0.000508
-0.000810
-0.000810
-0.000810
-0.000810
-0.00031
-0.04597

HIDROLOGIA
W
Z
2.354820
1.534425
2.039334
1.150424
1.829741
0.887008
1.665109
0.674176
1.525222
0.488346
1.400592
0.318184
1.285829
0.156968
1.177410
-0.000018
1.285829
-0.156968
1.400592
-0.318184
1.525222
-0.488346
1.665109
-0.674176
1.829741
-0.887008
2.039334
-1.150424
2.354820
-1.534425

K
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662
-0.007662

KT
1.523938
1.147841
0.888551
0.678282
0.494126
0.325034
0.164423
0.007644
-0.149477
-0.311261
-0.482457
-0.669923
-0.885284
-1.152798
-1.544693

YT
2.289598
2.260674
2.240734
2.224563
2.210401
2.197397
2.185045
2.172988
2.160905
2.148463
2.135297
2.120880
2.104318
2.083745
2.053607

XT
194.804043
182.252902
174.074023
167.711687
162.330798
157.542231
153.124731
148.932104
144.845515
140.754772
136.551810
132.093203
127.150556
121.267745
113.137560
SUMA
RECM

(Xi-XT)/Xi)^2
0.000213
0.001122
0.001084
0.000003
0.001139
0.002043
0.005180
0.001206
0.000034
0.001817
0.010665
0.010156
0.003551
0.000112
0.003270
0.04159486
0.00000769

X
208.672020
189.819220
178.372147
169.917693
163.065718
157.189219
151.944613
147.115490
142.547366
138.113848
133.693112
129.142410
124.252913
118.628832
111.169329
SUMA
RECM

ESTADISTICA GUMBEL - PEARSON III

DURACION 5
220
210
200

190
180
170

PEARSON III

160

HP 5 MIN

150

GUMBEL

140
130
120

110
100

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

5/15/2014
((Xi-Xd)/Xi)^2
0.007540
0.000044
0.000082
0.000130
0.000863
0.002241
0.006261
0.002162
0.000102
0.000532
0.006428
0.005804
0.001256
0.000131
0.005415
0.0389903
0.00000676

Oscar Lopez Garcia

M
HP (10)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15

150.00
138.00
132.00
130.00
126.00
120.00
120.00
120.00
120.00
120.00
116.46
102.00
90.00
85.50
84.00

15

Tr
16.00
8.00
5.33
4.00
3.20
2.67
2.29
2.00
1.78
1.60
1.45
1.33
1.23
1.14
1.07

P
0.063
0.125
0.188
0.250
0.313
0.375
0.438
0.500
0.563
0.625
0.688
0.750
0.813
0.875
0.938
MEDIA
DESVESTA

LOG HP
2.176091
2.139879
2.120574
2.113943
2.100371
2.079181
2.079181
2.079181
2.079181
2.079181
2.066177
2.008600
1.954243
1.931966
1.924279
2.06214
0.07489

(Xi-Xm)^2
0.012986
0.006044
0.003415
0.002684
0.001462
0.000291
0.000291
0.000291
0.000291
0.000291
0.000016
0.002866
0.011641
0.016944
0.019004
0.07852
COEF. ASIM.

(Xi-Xm)^3
0.001480
0.000470
0.000200
0.000139
0.000056
0.000005
0.000005
0.000005
0.000005
0.000005
0.000000
-0.000153
-0.001256
-0.002206
-0.002620
-0.00387
-0.61362

W
2.354820
2.039334
1.829741
1.665109
1.525222
1.400592
1.285829
1.177410
1.285829
1.400592
1.525222
1.665109
1.829741
2.039334
2.354820

HIDROLOGIA
Z
1.534425
1.150424
0.887008
0.674176
0.488346
0.318184
0.156968
-0.000018
-0.156968
-0.318184
-0.488346
-0.674176
-0.887008
-1.150424
-1.534425

K
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271
-0.102271

KT
1.378014
1.099053
0.892557
0.716415
0.555653
0.402627
0.252419
0.101180
-0.055012
-0.220724
-0.401527
-0.606015
-0.849409
-1.164533
-1.652167

YT
2.165332
2.144441
2.128977
2.115786
2.103747
2.092287
2.081039
2.069712
2.058016
2.045606
2.032066
2.016752
1.998525
1.974925
1.938407

XT
146.329636
139.457361
134.579008
130.552844
126.983458
123.676535
120.514284
117.411992
114.291930
111.072279
107.662784
103.932631
99.660836
94.389886
86.777558
SUMA
RECM

(Xi-XT)/Xi)^2
0.000599
0.000112
0.000382
0.000018
0.000061
0.000939
0.000018
0.000465
0.002263
0.005535
0.005706
0.000359
0.011522
0.010811
0.001093
0.03988256
0.00000707

X
158.531429
144.953774
136.709672
130.620834
125.686090
121.453876
117.676748
114.198848
110.908917
107.715928
104.532145
101.254761
97.733380
93.682956
88.310675
SUMA
RECM

ESTADISTICA GUMBEL - PEARSON III

DURACION 10
170
160
150

140
130
120

PEARSON III

110

HP 10 MIN

100

GUMBEL

90
80
70

60
50
0

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

5/15/2014
((Xi-Xd)/Xi)^2
0.003235
0.002539
0.001273
0.000023
0.000006
0.000147
0.000375
0.002337
0.005739
0.010479
0.010490
0.000053
0.007383
0.009160
0.002633
0.0558732
0.00001387

DATOS OUTLIERS

PERIODO DE RETORNO

= +

=
MEDIA

GUMBEL

=1

=1

DESVIACION ESTANDAR

+1

RECM
PRUEBA DE HELMERT
=0

1
=

= 1

=1

2 2

COEFICIENTE DE ASIMETRIA
PRUEBA T DE STUDENT
=

1
=
3

1 2
1 12

2 22

+
1
1
1 + 2
1 + 2 2

=0

1
= ln 2

= ln

1
1

= + ( 2 1) + 1 3 ( 3 6) 2 ( 2 1) 3 + Z 4 + 1 3 5
=

2.51557 + 0.80253 + 0.01328 2

=
1 + 1.432788 + 0.189269 2 + 0.001308 3

Tr
16.000
8.000
5.333
4.000
3.200
2.667
2.286
2.000
1.778
1.600
1.455
1.333
1.231
1.143
1.067

DURACIONES
5
10
192
150
188.57
138
180
132
168
130
168
126
165
120
165
120
154.29
120
144
120
135
120
123.77
116.46
120
102
120
90
120
85.5
120
84

LOG Tr
1.20412
0.90309
0.72700
0.60206
0.50515
0.42597
0.35902
0.30103
0.24988
0.20412
0.16273
0.12494
0.09018
0.05799
0.02803

LOG DURACIONES
0.69897
1
2.28330
2.17609
2.27547
2.13988
2.25527
2.12057
2.22531
2.11394
2.22531
2.10037
2.21748
2.07918
2.21748
2.07918
2.18834
2.07918
2.15836
2.07918
2.13033
2.07918
2.09262
2.06618
2.07918
2.00860
2.07918
1.95424
2.07918
1.93197
2.07918
1.92428

X2

X1

X1*Y

X2*Y

X1^2

X2^2