Documentos de Académico
Documentos de Profesional
Documentos de Cultura
Pob
Pob
P P0 r (t t0 ) r
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1981
1993
2007
POB
14,544
19,134
23,367
r prom =
r
382.500
302.357
342.43
POBini=
AOini=
Pf P0
t f t0
30558
2028
AOfin=
2033
POBfut= 32270.143
O CRECIMIENTO LINEAL
Pf P0
t f t0
hab
<<<
<<<
<<<
hab
P P0 1 r (t t0 )
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1981
1993
2007
POB
14,544
19,134
23,367
r prom =
Pi+1-Pi
Pi(ti+1-ti)
4,590
4,233
174,528
267,876
0.0263
0.0158
0.0211
Pi 1 Pi
Pi (ti 1 ti )
POBini=
AOini=
35534
2028
AOfin=
POBfut=
2033
39274
ERES SIMPLE
Pi 1 Pi
(ti 1 ti )
hab
<<<
<<<
<<<
hab
P P0 (1 r ) ( t t0 )
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1961
1972
1981
1993
2005
2007
2034
POB
3,123
3,827
4,352
4,249
4,699
4,949
7,058
Log(1+r)
0.00802604
0.00620338
-0.00086685
0.00364323
0.011256
0.0187
0.0144
-0.0020
0.0084
0.0263
11
9
12
12
2
r prom =
0.0131
POBini=
AOini=
4949
2007
hab
<<<
<<<
Chart Title
8,000
2034
7058
7,000
<<<
y = 47.751x - 90573
R = 0.9058
6,000
hab
Axis Title
AOfin=
POBfut=
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
0.35491829
27
7057.591329
7056.594308
1,000
0
1940
1960
1980
2000
Axis Title
2020
2040
Series1
Linear (Series1)
2040
P Pe
0
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1961
1972
1981
1993
2005
2007
2034
POB
3,123
3,827
4,352
4,249
4,699
4,949
6,688
r prom =
r (t t0 )
r
0.0185
0.0143
-0.0020
0.0084
0.0259
0.0130
ln Pi 1 ln Pi
r
ti 1 ti
POBini=
AOini=
AOfin=
POBfut=
ln Pi
1 ti
Chart Title
8,000
7,000
y = 43.6x - 82353
R = 0.9272
4949
2007
hab
<<<
<<<
Axis Title
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
2034
6688
<<<
hab
1,000
0
1940
1960
1980
2000
Axis Title
2020
2040
Series1
Linear (Series1)
P P0 r
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1981
1993
2007
POB
14,544
19,134
23,367
r prom =
( t t0 )
r
1.0231
1.0144
1.0187
r ( ti1 ti )
Pi 1
Pi
POBini=
AOini=
AOfin=
POBfut=
DO DE LA PROGRESION GEOMETRICA
ti )
Pi 1
Pi
34515
2028
2033
37874
hab
<<<
<<<
<<<
hab
P At 2 Bt C
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1981
1993
2005
2034
POB
4,352
4,249
4,699
8,070
t
0
12
24
AOini=
AOfin=
t=
POBfut=
A= 1.920138889
B=
-31.625
C=
4352
9,000
8,000
7,000
<<<<
2034
53
<<<<
8070
hab
6,000
Axis Title
1981
5,000
4,000
Series1
3,000
Linear (Series1)
2,000
1,000
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
Axis Title
Linear (Series1)
Pn P0
P
Z 1
2 P
Pn Pm P2 P1
Z 2
m : N de inte
Pt : Poblacion a calcular
Pn: ultimo dato censal
n!
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
ANO
1961
1971
1981
1991
POB
1,385
10,335
12,722
25,123
pob
8,950
2,387
12,401
Pt Pn m
Z: Numero
pob
..
-6,563
10,014
ANO FUT=
m=
An=
Pn=
Pt=
Nro datos
23,738
Z=
t=
4
10
P=
7912.67
2P=
1725.50
3,451
<<<<
Pt Pn mP
m(m 1)
2 P
2
<<<<
54038
hab
y a bx
AO
POBLACION
(x)
25,865
43,350
76,160
80,865
110,361
118,342
153,886
167,402
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
y aebx
INCREMENTO
PORCENT.(%Y)
67.60
75.69
6.18
36.48
7.23
30.03
8.78
ln(y)
4.21
4.33
1.82
3.60
1.98
3.40
2.17
y=
a+bx
a=
b=
77.5428000
-0.0005105
y=
87.375*e^^(-0.0000161*x)
a=
b=
87.375464
-1.61E-05
AOS
DESPUES
DEL CENSO
1,980
1,990
2,000
2,010
POBLACION
ARITMETICO EXPONENCIAL
(hab)
(hab)
167,402
167,402
154,150
177,340
152,375
186,314
152,002
194,477
25,865
xy
67.60
x2
1748500
poblacin. Se debe ca
datos censales como m
y2
668998225
4569.895907
TO POR DECADA
EXPONENCIAL
%
5.94
5.06
4.38
25,865
67.60