MES

E
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D

DEMANDA
500
600
550
400
320
700
650
800
1400
900
800
670

MOV. SIMP.

550
516.67
423.33
473.33
556.67
716.67
950.00
1033.33
1033.33

MOV. SIMP.4

512.5
467.5
492.5
517.5
617.5
887.5
937.5
975

MOV. CENTR.

490
480
505
567.5
752.5
912.5
956.25

1600
1400
1200

DEMANDA

1000
MOV. SIMP.

800
600

MOV. SIMP.4

400

MOV. CENTR.

200
0
1

10

11

12

0.2
mes

demanda
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

0.6

DT .2
200
250
175
190
225
305
205
245
180
320
256
195
200
255
200
275

0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2

DT .6
240.00
232.00
235.60
223.48
216.78
218.43
235.74
229.59
232.67
222.14
241.71
244.57
234.66
227.72
233.18
226.54

0.9

350

240.00
204.00
245.40
182.04
189.20
221.42
296.64
214.16
241.92
186.19
306.62
261.06
201.61
200.16
249.52
204.95

300

DT .9
240.00
216.00
236.40
199.56
193.82
212.53
268.01
230.20
239.08
203.63
273.45
262.98
222.19
208.88
236.55
214.62

0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6

250
200
150
100
50
0
1

0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.9

350
300
250
demanda

200

DT .2

150
100
50

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

0
1

350
300
250
200
demanda
150

DT .9

100
50
0
1

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

demanda
DT .6

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

demanda
DT .9

ao
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

I
283
274
218
298
336
264
389

II
454
392
382
452
468
399
579

III
392
290
382
423
387
408

AO
2006

TRIMESTRE
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2

VTAS REALS.
283
454
392
345
274
392
290
210
218
382
382
340
298
452
423
372
336
468
387
309
264
399
408
396
389
579

TOTAL

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

IV
345
210
340
372
309
396

PROM. MOV. MOVIL CEN.

1474
1465
1403
1301
1166
1110
1100
1192
1322
1402
1472
1513
1545
1583
1599
1563
1500
1428
1359
1380
1467
1592
1772

368.5
366.25
350.75
325.25
291.5
277.5
275
298
330.5
350.5
368
378.25
386.25
395.75
399.75
390.75
375
357
339.75
345
366.75
398
443

367.375
358.5
338
308.375
284.5
276.25
286.5
314.25
340.5
359.25
373.125
382.25
391
397.75
395.25
382.875
366
348.375
342.375
355.875
382.375
420.5

106.70
96.23
81.07
127.12
101.93
76.02
76.09
121.56
112.19
94.64
79.87
118.25
108.18
93.53
85.01
122.23
105.74
88.70
77.11
112.12
106.70
94.17

AO
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
SUMAS

II
81.07
76.09
79.87
85.01
77.11

127.12
121.56
118.25
122.23
112.12

III
106.70
101.93
112.19
108.18
105.74
106.7

238.05

362.04

427.32

IV
96.23
76.02
94.64
93.53
88.7
94.17
371.04

INDICES
FACT. AJUST IND. TEMP.
79.35
1.001
79.42
120.68
1.001
120.80
106.83
1.001
106.93
92.76
1.001
92.85
399.62
400.00
AO
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

TRIMESTRE
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2

VTAS REALS.
283
454
392
345
274
392
290
210
218
382
382
340
298
452
423
372
336
468
387
309
264
399
408
396
389
579

IND. TEMP VTAS. DESES.

0.794
356.32
1.208
375.84
1.069
366.59
0.928
371.57
0.794
344.98
1.208
324.52
1.069
271.20
0.928
226.18
0.794
274.48
1.208
316.24
1.069
357.23
0.928
366.19
0.794
375.20
1.208
374.19
1.069
395.58
0.928
400.65
0.794
423.05
1.208
387.43
1.069
361.91
0.928
332.80
0.794
332.39
1.208
330.31
1.069
381.55
0.928
426.50
0.794
489.78
1.208
479.32

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26

ao
TRIMESTRES Y
2006 I
II
III
IV
2007 I
II
III
IV
2008 I
II
III
IV
2009 I
II
III
IV
2010 I
II
III
IV
2011 I
II
III
IV
2012 I
II

356.32
375.84
366.59
371.57
344.98
324.52
271.20
226.18
274.48
316.24
357.23
366.19
375.20
374.19
395.58
400.65
423.05
387.43
361.91
332.80
332.39
330.31
381.55
426.50
489.78
479.32
9441.99

CODIFI.
X
12.50
11.50
10.50
9.50
8.50
7.50
6.50
5.50
4.50
3.50
2.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
2.50
3.50
4.50
5.50
6.50
7.50
8.50
9.50
10.50
11.50
12.50

363.154

A=

363.154

B=

1.944

-25
-23
-21
-19
-17
-15
-13
-11
-9
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25

XY
-

X^2
8,907.89
8,644.40
7,698.31
7,059.89
5,864.73
4,867.75
3,525.59
2,487.93
2,470.29
2,213.67
1,786.17
1,098.56
375.20
374.19
1,186.73
2,003.27
2,961.32
3,486.90
3,981.01
4,326.41
4,985.90
5,615.30
7,249.43
8,956.53
11,264.86
11,983.11
11,374.58

625
529
441
361
289
225
169
121
81
49
25
9
1
0
1
9
25
49
81
121
169
225
289
361
441
529
625
5850

AO
2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

TRIMESTRE
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2

VTAS DESEST.

356.32
375.84
366.59
371.57
344.98
324.52
271.20
226.18
274.48
316.24
357.23
366.19
375.20
374.19
395.58
400.65
423.05
387.43
361.91
332.80
332.39
330.31
381.55
426.50
489.78
479.32

*
314.54
318.43
322.32
326.21
330.10
333.99
337.88
341.77
345.65
349.54
353.43
357.32
361.21
365.10
368.99
372.88
376.76
380.65
384.54
388.43
392.32
396.21
400.10
403.99
407.87
411.76

% DE TEND.
113.280
118.029
113.733
113.906
104.509
97.164
80.266
66.178
79.408
90.472
101.076
102.482
103.874
102.490
107.206
107.450
112.284
101.781
94.115
85.678
84.725
83.368
95.364
105.574
120.080
116.408

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16

VTAS REALS.
MOVIL CEN.
*

15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26