AOS

2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018

Y
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.7
1.8
7.5
1.98
2.14
2.3
2.46
2.62
2.78

X
-2
-1
0
1
2
0
3
4
5
6
7
8

XY
-2.4
-1.3
0
1.7
3.6
1.6
5.94
8.56
11.5
14.76
18.34
22.24

X
4
1
0
1
4
10
9
16
25
36
49
64

y= na + xb
xy= ax + bx
7,5 = 5a + 0b
1,6 = 0a + 10b
9,1 = 5a + 10b
9,1 - 5a
=b
10

AO
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

N OBREROS POR
ACTIVIDAD
123,960
127,900
144,122
154,968
188,674
228,756

POLICA NACIONAL
EJRCITO ECUATORIANO

38,860
38,246

AOS
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018

Y
127,900
144,122
154,968
188,674
228,756
844,420
485,524
534,776
584,028
633,280
682,532
731,784

X
-2
-1
0
1
2
0
3
4
5
6
7
8

XY
-255,800
-144,122
0
188,674
457,512
246,264
1,456,572
2,139,104
2,920,140
3,799,680
4,777,724
5,854,272

X
4
1
0
1
4
10
9
16
25
36
49
64

AO 2013

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (3)
y = 242.762
485,524

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2013 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)1
P2013 = 17.159

3,886
4,590
8,476

* 2 = 16.952

AO 2014

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (4)
y = 267.388
534,776

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2014 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)2
P2014 = 17.368

3,886
4,590
8,476

* 2 = 16.952

AO 2015

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (5)
y = 292.014
584,028

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2015 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)3
P2015 = 17.580

3,886
4,590
8,476

* 2 = 16.952

AO 2016

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (6)
y = 316.640
633,280

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2016 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)3
P2016 = 17.795

3,886
4,590
8,476

* 2 = 16.952

AO 2017

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (7)
y = 341.266
682,532
3,886
4,590

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2017 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)4
P2017 = 18.012

8,476

* 2 = 16.952

AO 2018

1)

y = na + xb
844.420 = 5a + 0b
844,420
=a
5
168,884 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 168.884 + 24.626 (8)
y = 365.892
731,784
3,886
4,590
8,476

* 2 = 16.952

2)

xy = ax + bx
246.264 = 0a + 10b
246,264
=b
10
24,626 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2018 = 16.952 ( 1 + 0,0122)5
P2018 = 18.231

DEMANDA TOTAL

AO
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
TOTAL

DEMANDA
N OBREROS POLICIAS Y
MILITARES
485,524
17,159
534,776
17,368
584,028
17,580
633,280
17,795
682,532
18,012
731,784
18,231
3,651,924
106,145

OFERTA TOTAL
DEMANDA
TOTAL

AO

502,683
552,144
601,608
651,075
700,544
750,015
3,758,069

2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
TOTAL

FERTA TOTAL

DEMANDA INSATISFECHA

IMPORTADAS
296,219
322,247
348,275
374,303
400,331
426,359
2,167,734

NACIONALES
209,252
212,747
216,299
219,912
223,584
227,318
1,309,112

OFERTA
TOTAL

AO

DEMANDA
TOTAL

OFERTA
TOTAL

505,471
534,994
564,574
594,215
623,915
653,677
3,476,846

2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
TOTAL

502,683
552,144
601,608
651,075
700,544
750,015
3,758,069

505,471
534,994
564,574
594,215
623,915
653,677
3,476,846

DEMANDA
INSATISFECHA
-2,788
17,150
37,034
56,860
76,629
96,338
281,223

IMPORTADA
119,125
144,425
185,925
172,975
164,763
276,450
281,088
1,344,751

FUENTE NACIONAL

205815 Pares

AOS
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012

Y
119,125
144,425
185,925
172,975
164,763
276,450
281,088
1,344,751

X
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
0

XY
-357,375
-288,850
-185,925
0
164,763
552,900
843,264
728,777

X
9
4
1
0
1
4
9
28

AO 2013

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (4)
y = 296.219

2)

AO 2014

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (5)
y = 322.247

2)

AO 2015

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (6)
y = 348.275

AO 2016

2)

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (7)
y = 374.303

2)

AO 2017

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (8)
y = 400.331

2)

AO 2018

1)

y = na + xb
1'344.751= 7a + 0b
1'344.751
=a
7
192,107 = a

3)

y = a + bx
y = 192.107 + 26.028 (9)
y = 426.359

2)

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b

4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2013 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)1
P2013 =209.252

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b
4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2014 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)2
P2014 =212.747

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b
4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2015 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)3
P2015 =216.299

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b
4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2016 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)4
P2016 =219.912

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b
4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2017 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)5
P2017 =223.584

xy = ax + bx
728.777 = 0a + 28b
728,777
=b
28
26,028 = b
4) Poblacin Objetivo
P2018 = 205.815 ( 1 + 0,0167)6
P2018 =227.318