N: numero de temas totales

R: numero de temas que tu preparaste

Q: numero de temas que escoge el tribunal
P: la probabilidad de que alguno de los escogidos sea alguno de los tuyos
P = 1 - ( (N-R)!*(N-Q)!/((N!*(N-R-Q)!)

PROBABILIDAD DE QUE TE SALGA UN TEMA EN FUNCIN DEL NMERO DE TEMAS ESTUDIAD

N
75

N!
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109
2.4809E+109

R
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45

Q
5

(N-R)!
8.24765E+90
1.26887E+89
1.98261E+87
3.147E+85
5.0758E+83
8.32099E+81
1.38683E+80
2.35056E+78
4.05269E+76
7.10999E+74
1.26964E+73
2.30844E+71
4.27488E+69
8.06582E+67
1.55112E+66
3.04141E+64
6.08282E+62
1.24139E+61
2.58623E+59
5.50262E+57
1.19622E+56
2.65827E+54
6.04153E+52
1.40501E+51
3.34525E+49
8.15915E+47
2.03979E+46
5.23023E+44
1.37638E+43
3.71993E+41
1.03331E+40
2.95233E+38
8.68332E+36
2.63131E+35
8.22284E+33
2.65253E+32

(N-Q)!
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100
1.1979E+100

PROBABILIDAD DE QUE TE SALGA UNA UD EN FUNCIN DE LAS ESTUDIADAS

N!

(N-R)!

(N-Q)!

15

1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

87178291200
6227020800
479001600
39916800
3628800
362880
40320
5040
720
120
24
6

479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600
479001600

IN DEL NMERO DE TEMAS ESTUDIADOS

((N!*(N-R-Q)!
2.0644E+191
3.4406E+189
5.8315E+187
1.0054E+186
1.7639E+184
3.1499E+182
5.727E+180
1.0606E+179
2.0011E+177
3.8482E+175
7.5455E+173
1.5091E+172
3.0798E+170
6.4162E+168
1.3652E+167
2.9677E+165
6.5949E+163
1.4989E+162
3.4857E+160
8.2993E+158
2.0242E+157
5.0605E+155
1.2976E+154
3.4147E+152
9.2288E+150
2.5636E+149
7.3245E+147
2.1543E+146
6.528E+144
2.04E+143
6.5807E+141
2.1936E+140
7.564E+138
2.7014E+137
1.0005E+136
3.8482E+134

P
52.14%
55.82%
59.28%
62.51%
65.53%
68.36%
70.99%
73.45%
75.74%
77.87%
79.84%
81.68%
83.37%
84.94%
86.39%
87.72%
88.95%
90.08%
91.11%
92.06%
92.92%
93.71%
94.42%
95.07%
95.66%
96.19%
96.66%
97.09%
97.47%
97.82%
98.12%
98.39%
98.62%
98.83%
99.02%
99.17%

N FUNCIN DE LAS ESTUDIADAS

((N!*(N-R-Q)!

5.21982E+19
4.74529E+18
4.74529E+17
5.27254E+16
6.59068E+15
9.41526E+14
1.56921E+14
3.13842E+13
7.84605E+12
2.61535E+12
1.30767E+12
1.30767E+12

20.00%
37.14%
51.65%
63.74%
73.63%
81.54%
87.69%
92.31%
95.60%
97.80%
99.12%
99.78%