Está en la página 1de 21

RESUMEN

Pendiente
Pendiente

Pendiente
Pendiente

Regresion Lineal
Regresion Logaritmica
Regresion Exponencial
Regresion de Poder
Regresion de Inversos X
Regresion de Inversos Y
Regresion de Inversos X;Y
Regresion Cudratica

Producto A Correlacion A
69,933.33
0.87
65,608.58
0.91

61,306.59
76,337.51

0.86
0.82

Producto B
54,630.56
54,911.13

54,582.25
54,699.89

RESUMEN
Correlacion B Producto C Correlacion C
0.27
63,777.78
0.78
0.48
71,369.02
0.87

0.64
0.26

79,332.63
70,956.12

0.92
0.81

Y
40,000
42,000
56,000
58,000
50,600
63,500
61,500
62,500
64,200
498,300

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Total

Producto A
X.Y
X^2
40,000
1
84,000
4
168,000
9
232,000 16
253,000 25
381,000 36
430,500 49
500,000 64
577,800 81
2,666,300 285

10

Pronostico

Pronostico
43,713.3
46,626.7
49,540.0
52,453.3
55,366.7
58,280.0
61,193.3
64,106.7
67,020.0
498,300.0

Producto B
X.Y
48,000
107,000
156,000
216,000
291,500
333,000
376,600
410,400
473,400
2,411,900

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

10

69,933.3
0.87

Correlacion
a
b

0.27
a
b

2,913.3
40,800.0
Y=ax+b

Producto A

281.7
51,813.9
Y=ax+b

Producto B

80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0

70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1

3
Y

Pronostico

3
Y

5
Pronostico

Producto B
X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

10

Pronostico
52,095.6
52,377.2
52,658.9
52,940.6
53,222.2
53,503.9
53,785.6
54,067.2
54,348.9
479,000.0

Y
Ao
1 145,000
98,000
2
84,000
3
4 101,000
98,800
5
88,000
6
79,100
7
79,600
8
73,500
9
45 847,000

Producto C
X.Y
X^2
145,000
1
196,000
4
252,000
9
404,000 16
494,000 25
528,000 36
553,700 49
636,800 64
661,500 81
3,871,000 285

Pronostico
118,377.8
112,311.1
106,244.4
100,177.8
94,111.1
88,044.4
81,977.8
75,911.1
69,844.4
847,000.0

10

54,630.6

63,777.8

0.27

0.78
a
b

-6,066.7
124,444.4
Y=ax+b

Producto B

Producto C
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0

Pronostico

3
Y

Pronostico

Total
Pronostico

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Y
40,000
42,000
56,000
58,000
50,600
63,500
61,500
62,500
64,200
498,300

Nuevo X
0.00
0.69
1.10
1.39
1.61
1.79
1.95
2.08
2.20
12.80

10

Producto A
X.Y
X^2
0.00
0
29,112.18
0
61,522.29
1
80,405.07
2
81,437.56
3
113,776.73
3
119,673.47
4
129,965.10
4
141,061.82
5
756,954.22 22.35

2.30
0.91

Correlacion

Product
Pronostico
38,814.7
46,880.5
51,598.6
54,946.2
57,542.8
59,664.4
61,458.2
63,012.0
64,382.6
498,300.0

65,609

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

10

0.48

a
11,636.4
b
38,814.7
Y=b+a(Ln(X))

a
b
Y=b+a(Ln(X))

Producto A
70,000

70,000

60,000

60,000

50,000

50,000

40,000

40,000

30,000

30,000

20,000

20,000

10,000

10,000

0
1

3
Y

Pronostico

Producto B
Nuevo X
X.Y
X^2
0.00
0.00
0
0.69
37,083.37
0
1.10
57,127.84
1
1.39
74,859.90
2
1.61
93,830.23
3
1.79
99,442.65
3
1.95
104,689.97 4
2.08
106,675.35 4
2.20
115,574.01 5
12.80
689,283 22.3

2.30
0.48

Pronostico
50,492.8
51,822.8
52,600.9
53,152.9
53,581.1
53,930.9
54,226.7
54,482.9
54,709.0
479,000.0

54,911

Producto C
Y
Nuevo
X
Ao
X.Y
X^2
0.00
1 145,000
0
0
98,000
0.69
2
67,928
0
84,000
1.10
3
92,283
1
1.39
4 101,000
140,016
2
98,800
1.61
5
159,012
3
88,000
1.79
6
157,675
3
79,100
1.95
7
153,921
4
79,600
2.08
8
165,524
4
73,500
2.20
9
161,496
5
45 847,000 12.80 1,097,856 22.3

10

2.30
0.87

Pronostico
130,864.6
112,954.6
102,478.0
95,044.7
89,279.0
84,568.0
80,585.0
77,134.7
74,091.4
847,000.0

71,369

a
-25,838.6
b
130,864.6
Y=b+a(Ln(X))

1,918.9
50,492.8
Y=b+a(Ln(X))

Producto B

Producto B
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
1

3
Y

Pronostico

3
Y

Pronostico

Total
Pronostico

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Y
40,000
42,000
56,000
58,000
50,600
63,500
61,500
62,500
64,200
498,300

Nuevo Y
4.60
10.65
10.93
10.97
10.83
11.06
11.03
11.04
11.07
92.18

10

Producto A
X.Y
4.60
21.29
32.80
43.87
54.16
66.35
77.19
88.34
99.63
488.24

2.30
0.68

Correlacion
a
b

0.5
8.0
Y=b(e^ax)

Produc
X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

Pronostico
12.6
19.8
31.2
49.3
77.7
122.6
193.4
305.0
481.1
1,292.8

759

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

10

0.2
a
b
Y=b(e^ax)

Producto B
Nuevo Y
X.Y
10.78
10.78
10.89
21.77
10.86
32.58
10.90
43.59
10.97
54.87
10.92
65.54
10.89
76.25
10.85
86.76
10.87
97.83
97.93
489.98

2.30
0.27
0.0
10.9
Y=b(e^ax)

X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

Pronostico
10.9
11.0
11.0
11.1
11.2
11.2
11.3
11.3
11.4
100.5

11

Producto C
Y
Nuevo
Y
Ao
X.Y
1 145,000 11.88
11.88
98,000
11.49
2
22.99
84,000
11.34
3
34.02
4 101,000 11.52
46.09
98,800
11.50
5
57.50
88,000
11.39
6
68.31
79,100
11.28
7
78.95
79,600
11.28
8
90.28
73,500
11.21
9
100.85
45 847,000 102.89
510.86

10

2.30
0.79
a
-0.1
b
11.7
Y=b(e^ax)

X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

Pronostico
11.0
10.4
9.8
9.2
8.7
8.2
7.7
7.3
6.8
79.2

Euler
2.72

Total
Pronostico

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Nuevo X
0.00
0.69
1.10
1.39
1.61
1.79
1.95
2.08
2.20
13

Producto A
Y
Nuevo Y
40,000
10.60
42,000
10.65
56,000
10.93
58,000
10.97
50,600
10.83
63,500
11.06
61,500
11.03
62,500
11.04
64,200
11.07
498300
98.17

10

a
b

X.Y
0.00
7.38
12.01
15.21
17.43
19.81
21.46
22.96
24.32
141

X^2 Pronostico
0.00
10.6
0.48
12.4
1.21
13.6
1.92
14.5
2.59
15.3
3.21
15.9
3.79
16.5
4.32
17.0
4.83
17.4
22
133.2

18
0.91

Correlacion

Produc

0.2
10.6
Y=b(x)^a

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Nuevo X
0.00
0.69
1.10
1.39
1.61
1.79
1.95
2.08
2.20
13

10

0.6

Producto B
Y
Nuevo Y X.Y
48,000
10.78
0.00
53,500
10.89
7.55
52,000
10.86 11.93
54,000
10.90 15.11
58,300
10.97 17.66
55,500
10.92 19.57
53,800
10.89 21.20
51,300
10.85 22.55
52,600
10.87 23.88
479000 97.93
139

10

X^2 Pronostico
0.00
0.0
0.48
10.7
1.21
10.9
1.92
11.0
2.59
11.0
3.21
11.1
3.79
11.1
4.32
11.1
4.83
11.2
22
88.0

13

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Producto B
Nuevo X
Y
Nuevo Y
145,000 11.88
0.00
98,000
11.49
0.69
84,000
11.34
1.10
101,000 11.52
1.39
98,800
11.50
1.61
88,000
11.39
1.79
79,100
11.28
1.95
79,600
11.28
2.08
73,500
11.21
2.20
13
847000 102.89

10

0.69
a
b

0.0
10.8
Y=b(x)^a

X^2
0.00
0.48
1.21
1.92
2.59
3.21
3.79
4.32
4.83
22

13
#DIV/0!

a
b

X.Y
0.00
7.97
12.46
15.97
18.51
20.40
21.95
23.47
24.62
145

-0.2
11.8
Y=b(x)^a

Pronostico
#DIV/0!
12.9
11.5
10.9
10.5
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.7
#DIV/0!

13

Total

Y
40,000
42,000
56,000
58,000
50,600
63,500
61,500
62,500
64,200
498,300

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Nuevo X
1.00
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.20
0.17
0.14
0.13
0.11
2.83

Producto A
X.Y
X^2
40,000.00
1
21,000.00
0
18,666.67
0
14,500.00
0
10,120.00
0
10,583.33
0
8,785.71
0
7,812.50
0
7,133.33
0
138,601.55 1.54

10

Pronostico

Product
Pronostico
36,364.0
50,221.0
54,840.0
57,149.5
58,535.2
59,459.0
60,118.9
60,613.7
60,998.7
498,300.0

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

61,307

10

0.86

Correlacion
a
b

0.64
a
b
Y=(a/x)+b

-27,713.9
64,078.0
Y=(a/x)+b

Producto A
70,000

70,000

60,000

60,000

50,000

50,000

40,000

40,000

30,000

30,000

20,000

20,000

10,000

10,000

0
1

4
Y

Pronostico

Producto B
Nuevo X
X.Y
X^2
1.00
48,000.00
1
0.50
26,750.00
0
0.33
17,333.33
0
0.25
13,500.00
0
0.20
11,660.00
0
0.17
9,250.00
0
0.14
7,685.71
0
0.13
6,412.50
0
0.11
5,844.44
0
2.83
146,436 1.54

10

Pronostico
48,871.3
52,044.1
53,101.6
53,630.4
53,947.7
54,159.2
54,310.3
54,423.6
54,511.7
479,000.0

Producto C
Y
Nuevo
X
Ao
X.Y
1.00
1 145,000
145,000
98,000
0.50
2
49,000
84,000
0.33
3
28,000
0.25
4 101,000
25,250
98,800
0.20
5
19,760
88,000
0.17
6
14,667
79,100
0.14
7
11,300
79,600
0.13
8
9,950
73,500
0.11
9
8,167
45 847,000
2.83
311,093

54,582

X^2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.54

10

Pronostico
141,389.5
106,913.5
95,421.4
89,675.4
86,227.8
83,929.4
82,287.7
81,056.4
80,098.8
847,000.0

79,333

0.64

0.92
a
68,952.1
b
72,437.4
Y=(a/x)+b

-6,345.5
55,216.8
Y=(a/x)+b

Producto B

Producto B
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2

4
Y

Pronostico

3
Y

Pronostico

Total

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Y
40,000
42,000
56,000
58,000
50,600
63,500
61,500
62,500
64,200
498,300

Nuevo Y
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00

Producto A
X.Y
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Produc
X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

10

Pronostico

Pronostico
43,532.6
45,715.4
48,128.7
50,811.0
53,809.9
57,185.0
61,011.9
65,387.7
70,439.6
496,021.8

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

76,338

10

0.82

Correlacion
a
b

0.2
a
b
Y=1/(ax+b)

0.0
0.0
Y=1/(ax+b)

Producto A
70,000

80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0

60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
1

4
Y

Pronostico

Producto B
Nuevo Y
X.Y
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.0
0.00
0.00
0

X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

Pronostico
51,861.5
52,162.3
52,466.5
52,774.4
53,085.8
53,401.0
53,719.9
54,042.6
54,369.3
477,883.3

10

Producto C
Y
Nuevo
Y
Ao
X.Y
0.0
1 145,000
0.00
98,000
0.0
2
0.00
84,000
0.0
3
0.00
0.0
4 101,000
0.00
98,800
0.0
5
0.00
88,000
0.0
6
0.00
79,100
0.0
7
0.00
79,600
0.0
8
0.00
73,500
0.0
9
0.00
45 847,000
0.00
0

54,700

X^2
1
4
9
16
25
36
49
64
81
285

10

Pronostico
116,743.1
108,932.8
102,102.0
96,077.3
90,724.0
85,935.8
81,627.6
77,730.8
74,189.1
834,062.6

70,956

0.26

0.81
a
0.0
b
0.0
Y=1/(ax+b)

0.0
0.0
Y=1/(ax+b)

Producto B

Producto C
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0

4
Y

Pronostico

3
Y

Pronostico

Total
Pronostico

Ao
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
45

Y
Nuevo Y
40,000
0.0
42,000
0.0
56,000
0.0
58,000
0.0
50,600
0.0
63,500
0.0
61,500
0.0
62,500
0.0
64,200
0.0
498,300
0.00

10

Producto A
Nuevo X X.Y
1.0
0.00
0.5
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
2.83
0.00

2.30
#DIV/0!

Correlacion
a
0.0
b
0.0
Y=x/((a*x)+b)

X^2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.54

Pronostico
38,169.3

38,169.3

87,888

Y
Ao
48,000
1
53,500
2
52,000
3
54,000
4
58,300
5
55,500
6
53,800
7
51,300
8
52,600
9
45 479,000

10

a
b
Y=x/((a*x)+b)

Nuevo Y
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.00

Producto B
Nuevo X
X.Y
1.0
0.00
0.5
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
2.83
0.00

2.30

0.0
0.0
Y=x/((a*x)+b)

X^2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.5

Pronostico
48,808.0

48,808.0

112,385

Y
Nuevo Y
Ao
0.0
1 145,000
98,000
0.0
2
84,000
0.0
3
0.0
4 101,000
98,800
0.0
5
88,000
0.0
6
79,100
0.0
7
79,600
0.0
8
73,500
0.0
9
45 847,000
0.00

10

Producto C
Nuevo X
X.Y
1.0
0.00
0.5
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.3
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.2
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
0.1
0.00
2.83
0

2.30
#DIV/0!
a
0.0
b
0.0
Y=x/((a*x)+b)

to C

/0!

X^2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.54

Pronostico
1,852.6

1,852.6

4,266