Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin
0.96862506mltiple
Coeficiente de determinacin
0.9382345 R^2
R^2 ajustado 0.92835202
Error tpico
0.07179427
Observaciones
30
ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados F
Valor crtico de F
Regresin
4 1.95742421 0.48935605 94.9391706 9.7518E-15
Residuos
25 0.12886042 0.00515442
Total
29 2.08628463
Coeficientes
Intercepcin 0.44346504
log PPOL
-0.96455621
log PRES
-0.25019754
log POVI
-0.1468379
log ING
0.87969121

Error tpico
0.27552272
0.05826
0.09273112
0.07094082
0.09590375

Estadstico t
1.60954073
-16.5560623
-2.69809676
-2.06986489
9.1726469

Probabilidad
0.12005454
5.5286E-15
0.01231235
0.04894652
1.7784E-09

Anlisis de los residuales

Observacin
Pronstico logQPOLResiduosResiduos estndares
1 1.66209128 -0.00151037 -0.02265798
2 1.16774172 -0.04086385 -0.61302545
3 1.90620652
0.1142335 1.71369172
4 2.07694427
0.0606282 0.90952341
5 1.18611504 0.01566431 0.23499063
6 1.39810265 -0.02395944 -0.3594313
7 1.86283779 -0.06647163 -0.9971846
8 1.73156368 -0.01337765 -0.20068693
9 1.50961116 0.00779589
0.1169513
10 2.05689064 0.03310627 0.49664887
11 1.39201932 0.02719271 0.40793566
12 1.48477189 0.06594553 0.98929226
13
1.520629 -0.00891939 -0.13380563
14 1.64755173 0.01367393 0.20513162
15 1.42845328
0.0007659
0.0114897
16 1.83726493 -0.20052636 -3.00822767
17 1.32671436 0.05942775 0.89151466
18 2.00576765 0.02368512 0.35531602
19 1.39251607 -0.02317032 -0.34759315

Inferior 95%
-0.12398462
-1.08454493
-0.44118085
-0.29294325
0.68217375

Superior 95%
1.0109147
-0.84456749
-0.05921422
-0.00073256
1.07720868

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil
1.66666667
5
8.33333333
11.6666667
15
18.3333333
21.6666667
25
28.3333333
31.6666667
35
38.3333333
41.6666667
45
48.3333333
51.6666667
55
58.3333333
61.6666667

logQPOL
1.12224865
1.12687787
1.20177935
1.26135805
1.31333984
1.34545215
1.36934576
1.37414321
1.38614211
1.4034294
1.41921202
1.42921918
1.51170961
1.51656181
1.51740705
1.55071742
1.62164357
1.63673857
1.64547139

20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30

1.25580611
1.70289491
1.59685292
1.55160627
1.52833155
1.30334687
1.24419812
1.73789116
1.65062713
1.19891429
1.54636484

0.00555194
0.03663788
0.05982012
-0.14817687
-0.01176974
0.04210528
0.06914173
-0.09241977
-0.00282376
-0.07666564
0.07527873

0.08328825
0.54962896
0.89740096
-2.22289859
-0.1765656
0.63164904
1.03724046
-1.38644963
-0.04236112
-1.15011163
1.12930575

65
68.3333333
71.6666667
75
78.3333333
81.6666667
85
88.3333333
91.6666667
95
98.3333333

1.64780337
1.65667305
1.66058091
1.66122566
1.71818603
1.73953279
1.79636615
2.02044001
2.02945277
2.0899969
2.13757247

log PPOL Grfico de los residuales

log PRES Grfico de los residuales

-0.2
-0.3

0.4

0.6

0.2

-0.1 0

0.2
0.1

-0.2
-0.3

log POVI
Grfico
de los residu
0.8
1

0.4
0.6
log PPOL
0.2

-0.1 0

0.2
0.1

-0.2
-0.3

0
-0.1 0
-0.2

Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%

-0.12398462
1.0109147
-1.08454493 -0.84456749
-0.44118085 -0.05921422
-0.29294325 -0.00073256
0.68217375 1.07720868

atos de probabilidad

-0.3

log 0.8
ING Grfico de lo

log PPOL Curv

0.4
log PRES
3
logQPOL

-0.1 0

0.2
0.2
0.1

Residuos

Residuos

0.1

Residuos

Residuos

0.2

0.5
2
1
0
0

esiduales

o de los residuales

VI Grfico1.2de los1.4residuales
log 0.8
ING Grfico
de los 1.4
residuales
1
1.2
log PPOL
Curva
de1.2regresin
ajustada
0.8
1
1.4

0.6

1.5

log POVI Curva logQPOL

de regresin ajustada
Pronstico logQPOL

log ING
3
0.5

0
0

2
log PPOL
1 0.5
0
0

logQPOL
log
regresin ajustada
1.5 ING Curva de

1
3
logQPOL

2
log PRES
1 0.5
0
0

Pronstico logQPOL
logQPOL

Grfico de probabilidad normal

1.5

Pronstico logQPOL
logQPOL

3
logQPOL

logQPOL

log PRES
Curva
de 3regresin
ajustada
2
2.5
3.5

1
log POVI
3
logQPOL

0.5

2
log POVI
11
0
0

1.5

Pronstico logQPOL
2

log ING
20

40

4
60
Muestra percentil

n ajustada

babilidad normal

stico logQPOL
logQPOL
Pronstico logQPOL

stra percentil

80

100

120

obs
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989

logQPOL
1.660580912
1.126877869
2.020440012
2.13757247
1.201779354
1.374143211
1.796366155
1.718186026
1.517407054
2.089996904
1.419212023
1.550717423
1.511709608
1.66122566
1.429219175
1.636738571
1.386142109
2.029452772
1.369345755
1.261358046
1.739532789
1.656673046
1.403429396
1.516561814
1.345452151
1.313339844
1.645471395
1.647803367
1.122248654
1.621643572

log PPOL
0.821448019
1.139060079
0.608846822
0.587486465
1.173827036
1.155882358
0.68069803
0.576110894
0.907894835
0.43264866
1.110623375
1.045909467
1.049992857
0.764176132
0.741624258
0.569022586
1.005395032
0.392872745
0.953082844
1.110017007
0.61436984
0.69565676
0.798926739
0.91897343
0.983986922
0.852601969
0.618780025
1.001733713
1.189181397
0.790425917

log PRES
1.03193334
1.115044395
0.965859937
0.663229635
1.115444083
0.886829005
0.869525063
0.876160085
0.942702369
1.130687494
0.69399061
0.922206277
0.757471948
0.858837851
0.820661135
1.152869054
0.830524514
0.890365121
0.991403303
1.043872912
0.815245592
1.043872912
0.603793704
0.677515705
0.739018246
0.897077003
0.927370363
0.792041311
0.82885316
1.07834805

log POVI
0.65069598
1.034868996
0.767601068
1.146438135
1.057552001
0.94225615
0.864333055
0.803457116
0.622006673
0.300160537
0.861414919
0.766338475
0.712649702
0.96118371
0.701913211
0.772761647
0.91312479
0.85691006
1.124341171
0.837209528
1.191255342
0.650987094
0.965248751
0.771366971
0.849849196
0.997473759
0.847757688
0.617210095
0.527501011
0.681783766

log ING
2.688094424
2.562153035
2.733205855
2.881035883
2.625060034
2.762097015
2.751436084
2.479257498
2.579379744
2.680156047
2.637216358
2.72073492
2.710158592
2.611365
2.283439186
2.665219147
2.495063989
2.603009406
2.593518662
2.577180904
2.536023957
2.479451784
2.468540947
2.562315828
2.408439593
2.266737452
2.55519545
2.798922115
2.486458534
2.540916314