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217

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BSD Unix; TCP/IP
Ethernet, 50 / Arpanet,
Internet. Sun BSD Unix TCP/IP, - Web -
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Wired: Bill Joy "Why the future doesn't need us".
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Existential Risks
Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards
Nick Bostrom, PhD
Faculty of Philosophy, Oxford University
www.nickbostrom.com
[Published in the Journal of Evolution and Technology, Vol. 9,
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91


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Dept. of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific method
London School of Economics; Houghton St.; WC2A AE; London; UK
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Homepage: http://www.hedweb.com/nickb
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Risk Analysis, forthcoming
Milan M. irkovi
Astronomical Observatory of Belgrade, Volgina 7,
11160 Belgrade-74, Serbia
E-mail: mcirkovic@aob.rs
Anders Sandberg
Future of Humanity Institute, Faculty of Philosophy
& James Martin 21st Century School, Oxford University, Oxford, UK
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Nick Bostrom
Future of Humanity Institute Faculty of Philosophy & James Martin
21st Century School, Oxford University, UK
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356

 IV. [10,11] [12,13]

, ,
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BJSW

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357

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2)
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40 TeV RHIC.
358

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[8,2] 1-3 . 1-3, , , 4 5 .
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, DDH P < 210-8 p < 210-6
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RHIC . , . , DDH, , , , RHIC
( 10 ): 359

, 1.
[1] BJSW DDH , RHIC. , , . 100 , ,
DDH,
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360

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361

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362

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X

363

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: .
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364

 , , ,
, . (Alvaro de Rujula), , , New Scientist [15],
,
.
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,
.
VIII.
.
DDH and BJSW
DDH [2] BJSW [1], [12], [13].

, . , , ,
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[16]. , , . , ,
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365

IX. .

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366

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1

BJSW DDH , CERN , , W. Pratt et al.,
Brookhaven National Laboratory Memo to T. Ludlam and J. Marburger, 17.2.00. [18].

370

 , , ,

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, 371

 ( ) ,
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, .

,
,
. Clark Chapman

. Andy Baker,
; Hans Bethe Kurt Gottfried,
- ; Guido
Altarelli, John Ellis, Jean-Pierre Revol, Jurgen Schukraft Gavin Salam ; Conor Houghton KatinkaRidderbos
; Richard Binzel, Hans Rickman David Morrison ; Holger Bech Nielsen,
; Francesco Calogero
[18].
Stephen Adler, Michael Atiyah, Guido Bacciagaluppi, David Bailin, Jon Barrett, John Barrow, Dorothy Bishop, James Blodgett, Charlotte Bonardi,
Harvey Brown, Jeremy Butterfield, Joanne Cohn, Jane Cox, Ian Crotty, Matthias
Dorrzapf, Fay Dowker, Ian Drummond, Michael Froomkin, Nicolas Gisin, Peter
Goddard, Stephen Gratton, Lucien Hardy, Julia Hawkins, Ron Horgan, Tobias
Hurth, Simon Judge, Anjali Kumar, Peter Landshoff, Nathan Lepora, Karen
McDonald, Jane MacGibbon, David Mermin, Hugh Osborn, Sandu Popescu, Patrick Rabbitt, Martin Rees, Stefan Reimoser, Peter Ruback, Paul Saffin, Hugh
Shanahan, Graham Shore, Tony Sudbery, John Taylor, Daniel Waldram, Peter
West Toby Wiseman . , , , 372

 -
. CERN
, ,
(Royal Society
University Research Fellowship)
(UK Particle Physics and Astronomy Research
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[1] W. Busza et al., Review of Speculative Disaster Scenarios at RHIC,
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[4] Pearl Buck, The bomb the end of the world?, American Weekly,
March 8, 1959, pp 8-11.
[5] I am most grateful to Hans Bethe and Kurt Gottfried for this email
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[6] P. Hut and M. Rees, How stable is our vacuum?, Nature 302, 508-509
(1983).
[7] P. Hut, Is it safe to disturb the vacuum?, Nucl. Phys. A 418, 301c311c (1984).
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[9] See for example Black Holes at Brookhaven?, letter to the Editors,
Scientific American, July 1999, p.5; Big Bang machinecould destroy Earth, article
in The Sunday Times (London), 18.7.99, p.26.
[10] Apocalypse Deferred, Scientific American, December 1999.
[11] Black Hole Ate My Planet, New Scientist, 28 August 1999, pp. 2427.
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402, 596-597 (1999).
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at RHIC, hep-ph/0009130.
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[15] Gambling with the Earth, New Scientist 7.10.00, p. 4.

[16] Board Statement on Radiological Protection Objectives for the Landbased Disposal of Solid Radioactive Wastes, Documents of the NRPB 3, 3 (1992).
Abstract available at http://www.nrpb.org.uk/Absd3-3.htm
[17] C. Chapman and D. Morrison, Impacts on the Earth by asteroids and
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374

 3.

375

E .

Eliezer Yudkowsky
Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk
2008
, .
: .. . (avturchin@mail.ru)
.
:
www.avturchin.narod.ru/ai.doc
: http://www.singinst.org/reading/corereading

1
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Michael Roy Ames, Eric Baum, Nick Bostrom, Milan Cirkovic, John K Clark, Emil
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Michael Wilson , . ,
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376

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:
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394

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The Gray Goo Problem by Robert A. Freitas Jr.

http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/articles/art0142.html
: ..

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KurzweilAI.net 20 2001.
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The author thanks Robert J. Bradbury, J. Storrs Hall, James Logajan,
Markus Krummenacker, Thomas McKendree, Ralph C. Merkle, Christopher J.
Phoenix, Tihamer Toth-Fejel, James R. Von Ehr II, and Eliezer S. Yudkowsky for
helpful comments on earlier versions of this manuscript; J. S. Hall for the word
"aerovore"; and R. J. Bradbury for preparing the hypertext version of this document.
435

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1. Lifeboat Foundation Scientific Advisory Board, Lifeboat Foundation
BioShield, July 2006.
2. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, Kinematic Self-Replicating
Machines, Landes Bioscience, Georgetown, TX, 2004.
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Nanoreplicators, with Public Policy Recommendations, Zyvex preprint, April
2000.
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robots, NASA: Advanced Concepts Research Projects, January 1999.
5. United States Computer Emergency Readiness Team (US-CERT).
6. The Tsunami Warning System.
7. The Spaceguard Central Node. See also: Spacewatch Project.
8. EOSDIS Earth Observing System Data Information System.
9. B. Lobitz, L. Beck, A. Huq, B. Wood, G. Fuchs, A.S.G. Faruque, R.
Colwell, Climate and infectious disease: Use of remote sensing for detection of
Vibrio cholerae by indirect measurement, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 97(2000):14381443.
10. Philippe Van Nedervelde, Lifeboat Foundation InfoShield, July 2006.
11. Robert A. Freitas Jr., Economic Impact of the Personal Nanofactory,
Nanotechnology Perceptions: A Review of Ultraprecision Engineering and Nanotechnology 2(May 2006):111-126.
12. Eric D. Isaacs, X-ray nanovision, Nature Vol. 442 (July 6, 2006):35
475

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By
Milan M. irkovi
Astronomical Observatory Belgrade
Volgina 7, 11160 Belgrade
SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO
arioch@eunet.yu
Richard B. Cathcart
Geographos
1608 East Broadway, Suite #107
Glendale, California 91205-1524
UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
rbcathcart@msn.com
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502

 .
SETI?
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DO POTENTIAL SETI SIGNALS NEED TO BE
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Richard A. Carrigan, Jr.
Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory
Box 500 MS221
Batavia, IL 60510 USA
carrigan@fnal.gov
http://home.fnal.gov/~carrigan/SETI/SETI%20Hacker_AC-03-IAA-8-306.doc

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1. Cocconi, G., Morrison, P.Searching for Interstellar Communications, Nature, 184, 844-846, 1959.
2. Tarter, J., The Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI), Annu.
Rev. Astron. Astrophys., 39, 511-548, 2001.
3. De Duve, C. Life Evolving. Molecules, Mind, and Meaning, Oxford, New York, 2002.
4. For a contrary view see Ward, P., Brownlee, D. Rare Earth, Copernicus, Springer-Verlag, New York., 2000.
5. Sullivan, III, W., Brown, S., Wetherill, C., Eavesdropping: The Radio Signature of Earth, Science, 199, 377-388, 1978.
6. Cited in Sagan, C. et al., Carl Sagans Comic Connection, p. 236,
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2000.
7. Carrigan, R., Carrigan, N., The Siren Stars, serialized in Analog
Mar.-May, 1970, published by Pyramid, New York, 1971, Hoyle, F., Elliot, J., A
is for Andromeda, Souvenir Press Ltd., London, 1962.
8. Carrigan, Jr., R., The Ultimate Hacker: SETI signals may need to be
decontaminated, to be published in "Bioastronomy 2002: Life Amongst the Stars"
Astronomical Society of the Pacific IAU Symposium Series, 213, editors Norris,
R., Stootman, F, 2002.
9. See, for instance, Secker, J., Wesson, P, and Lepock, J., Astrophysical and biological constraints on radio panspermia, Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada, 90, 17:184-192, 1996.
10. Crevier. D., The tumultuous history of the search for AI, Basic
Books-Harper, New York, 1993.
11. Lesk,
M.,
in
comments
that
appear
at
http://www.lesk.com/mlesk/ksg97/ksg.html, 1997.
12. Leigh, D., An Interference-Resistant Search for Extraterrestrial Microwave Beacons, submitted to The Division of Engineering and Applied
Sciences, Harvard Ph.D. thesis, 1998. (http://seti.harvard.edu/grad/d_thes.html).
13. Nealson, K., et al., Mars Sample Return: Issues and Recommendations, Space Sciences Board of the National Academy of Sciences, Task Group on
512

Issues
in
Sample
Return,
1997.
<http://www.nationalacademies.org/ssb/mrsrnot.html>.
14. Billingham, J., Chairman, SETI Committee. Declaration of Principles Concerning Activities Following the Detection of Extraterrestrial Intelligence, International Academy of Astronautics Position Paper Annex, 1996.

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2. . .

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2008.
.http://www.expert.ru/printissues/russian_reporter/2008/10/obschenie_s_vselennoy
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3. .. . , , . ., 2007
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5. .. . (SETI). ., , 2007.
6. . , . . . ., 1966.
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. ,
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Kneevic, Z. and Milani, A. (eds.) (2005). Dynamics of Populations of
Planetary Systems, Proc. IAU colloq. 197 (Cambridge: Cambridge University
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S. Ambrose, S. Self, R. Stothers, G. Zielinski .

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