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    Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches
    Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches
    Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches
    Ebook161 pages1 hour

    Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches

    By Robert Perrine

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    About this ebook

    This book describes a study into several presentations by Vladimir Putin (Putin). The three purposes of this study are to gain insight into Putin’s words, to document a technique for analyzing such speeches, and to share what I learned. The themes identified in this study are accusation, challenge, directing, gratitude, information, opinion, platitude, promise, and warning. The stages of inclusivity examined are self, friends, people like us, citizens, and multinational. The variance between these presentations is measured multi-dimensionally and examined for clues about Putin’s intent. The technique used in this study is unveiled gradually with one layer added upon another layer sequentially until the full technique is defined.

    What I gained from this study is an appreciation for Putin’s style of speech. He is clear and articulate. He varies his style to fit the occasion. He demonstrates leadership by pulling people toward common goals.

    LanguageEnglish
    PublisherRobert Perrine
    Release dateMar 19, 2020
    ISBN9780463723807
    Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches
    Author

    Robert Perrine

    Robert is a wayfarer on this journey through life. He was born in Pennsylvania and now resides in California. During his career he has been a civil engineer, computer programmer, professor and a project manager. Throughout this journey Robert has tried to fit all the pieces together into a holistic framework. His goal now is to describe an integrated model of psychology that he found by delving deeply into a study of project management.

    Read more from Robert Perrine

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      Book preview

      Comparing Ten of Putin’s Speeches - Robert Perrine

      Comparing ten of Putin’s speeches

      By Robert E. Perrine

      Copyright

      The copyright on this book belongs to the author, Robert E. Perrine, Bakersfield, California. Please do not copy or distribute this book without advanced written permission from the author. If you have questions or comments, please contact Robert E. Perrine via email to Robert@RobertPerrine.com.

      For more information about the author, visit his website at www.robertperrine.com.

      Table of Contents

      Copyright

      Preface

      About the cover

      Introduction

      My Goal

      Technique - Selecting the text

      Technique - Presentation

      Technique - Anonymization

      Technique - Preliminary analysis

      Technique - Accuracy

      Inclusivity - An introduction

      Inclusivity - Stages of inclusivity

      Inclusivity - By audience

      Inclusivity - By speech

      Themes - Building a list

      Themes - Shaping the style of a speech

      Themes - By audience

      Themes - In two dimensions

      Themes - By speech

      Analysis - A heat map

      Analysis - Three dimensions

      Analysis - Metadata

      Analysis - The Putin Inaugurals

      Analysis - Putin speaking internationally

      Analysis - Putin speaking domestically

      Variance

      Governance

      Summary

      Bibliography

      Other works by Robert Perrine

      Preface

      This book describes a study into several presentations by Vladimir Putin (Putin). The three purposes of this study are to gain insight into Putin’s words, to document a technique for analyzing such speeches, and to share what I learned. The themes identified in this study are accusation, challenge, directing, gratitude, information, opinion, platitude, promise, and warning. The stages of inclusivity examined are self, friends, people like us, citizens, and multinational. The variance between these presentations is measured multi-dimensionally and examined for clues about Putin’s intent. The technique used in this study is unveiled gradually with one layer added upon another layer sequentially until the full technique is defined.

      What I gained from this study is an appreciation for Putin’s style of speech. He is clear and articulate. He varies his style to fit the occasion. He demonstrates leadership by pulling people toward common goals.

      If you want to follow along, view the full data set, and check my calculations, there are links in the final section of this book which will give you access to my Google Sheets spreadsheets and a Google Docs document with png copies of all the images. As an owner of this book, you have my permission to copy the spreadsheets and the images for your personal use.

      About the cover

      The cover to this book contains two bar charts. The first shows the stages of inclusivity within the ten Putin speeches. This chart comes from the chapter called Inclusivity - By speech. The second bar chart displays the themes used within these Putin speeches. That chart comes from the chapter Themes - Building a list.

      The image shown just below the title on the inside cover is a scorecard summarizing the metrics found in this study of ten of Putin’s speeches. This scorecard is described in the chapter called Analysis - Metadata.

      Introduction

      Putin’s message seems consistent over the twenty years in this study.

      A few months ago, I published a book called Comparing inaugurals from Bush 43, Obama 44, and Trump 45. That study into three US Presidents was a pivotal point in my writing. It described the textual analysis technique I spent decades developing. It also concluded my previous research.

      The US Presidential study became the first book in a new series. This book is the second in this series.

      There are three purposes for this book:

      1 - I wanted to learn more about Putin’s message and Putin’s messaging technique.

      2 - I wanted to streamline the calculations I used in the US study.

      3 - I wanted to share what I learned about Putin and share what I know about this analysis technique.

      I chose eight speeches, one letter, and one book for this study. I tried to find the speeches ranked as being the most significant. The result is an interesting collection that fits the pattern of something old, something new, something borrowed and something blue.

      The something old is the first inaugural address given by Putin in 2000. To the best of my knowledge, Putin’s 2000 inaugural address contains only one sentence:

      "I understand that I have taken on a great responsibility, and I know that in Russia the head of state has always been and will always be the person who is responsible for everything in the country." (Putin, 2000, inaugural)

      The something new is the speech he made to the Federal Assembly as they opened their 2020 session.

      The something borrowed is an opinion piece he submitted to the New York Times in 2013 called A plea for caution from Russia. I was not able to access the New York Times copy of his letter, however, I found it reproduced on the website for The Guardian (https://www.theguardian.com).

      As for something blue, Putin’s speech in Munich in 2007 has been described as a sad day for those who thought Russia would quietly accept a realigned Europe dominated by the United States.

      Within this book, I often refer to the set as speeches. When I use the phrase speeches I mean the eight speeches, plus the newspaper opinion piece, plus the quotes pulled from the book. The collection spans twenty years. Putin’s message seems consistent over the twenty years in this study, though his presentation technique varies according to the purpose of each speech.

      Putin’s focuses on domestic issues when speaking domestically. He focuses on multinational issues when speaking internationally. While this seems like common sense, there are other world leaders who seem to ignore this pattern. Putin strikes me as being exceptionally talented in his ability to package the message he wants to deliver for the audience he plans to reach.

      I was also struck by the similarities between Putin and Barack Obama (Obama). Their inaugural addresses are styled similarly. Putin’s multinational speeches are packaged similarly to the style Obama used in his Nobel Peace Prize speech. In general, I found more similarities between Putin’s speeches and Obama’s speeches than I did when I compared either of them to Trump. What I concluded is that an expert in the art of speechcraft knows how to shape their speech for the setting. Obama is highly proficient. Putin is a virtuoso. This was enlightening to me.

      Regarding my second objective, my calculations evolved again. A few years ago, I varied my calculations with every study. While working on the US study, I went through three versions of the calculations before I settled on a version for that book. I then consolidated and polished those calculations before and during work on this book. Then, as I began comparing Putin’s style with those in the US study, I did another revision. I believe the latest revision of my spreadsheet is sufficiently comprehensive so I will be able to use it for many future studies. I also believe it is robust enough that you could apply it to your own studies should you so choose.

      My Goal

      This might seem backward. In the introduction, I described three purposes for this book. Now I am going to describe the goal. Typical research projects begin with a goal, then identify actions, and then define specific steps. That is the standard top-down methodology.

      This series is a bottom-up research effort. Bottom-up means this is inductive. Inductive means I start with facts and then draw conclusions.

      I am not working blind. I have a general sense of where I am trying to go. I am just a bit unsure of the route. However, saying I am unsure of the route violates my family mythology.

      My father was proud our ancestors were among the early Europeans who settled in

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