The Falklands War: Understanding the Power of Context in Shaping Argentine Strategic Decisions
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Lt. Scott C. Nietzel
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The Falklands War - Lt. Scott C. Nietzel
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Text originally published in 2007 under the same title.
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THE FALKLANDS WAR: UNDERSTANDING THE POWER OF CONTEXT IN SHAPING
ARGENTINE STRATEGIC DECISIONS
BY
SCOTT C. NIETZEL
LIEUTENANT, UNITED STATES NAVY
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS 4
ABSTRACT 5
LIST OF FIGURES 6
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 7
I. INTRODUCTION 8
A. BACKGROUND 9
1. The Falkland Islands 9
2. Origins of the Dispute 10
3. The Dispute Leading Up to the War 12
B. THE WAR 14
C. LITERATURE REVIEW 16
II. ASSESSING THE BELLIGERENTS 20
A. FORCE 20
1. Air Forces 21
2. Naval Forces 22
3. Ground Forces 24
B. TIME 26
C. SPACE 27
III. ARGENTINE CONDUCT OF THE WAR 30
A. EMPLOYMENT OF NAVAL FORCES 30
1. Sinking of the General Belgrano 30
2. Submarine Operations 31
3. Retreat of the Argentine Navy 33
B. SELECTION OF GROUND FORCES 33
1. Failure to Deploy Mountain Troops 34
2. Selection of Commander 34
3. Deployment and Employment of Special Forces 35
C. THE AIR FIGHT 36
1. Successes and Failures 36
2. The Airfield at Stanley 37
VI. DECISION MAKING CONTEXT 39
A. LIMITED WAR CULTURE 40
B. THE NATURE OF DECISION-MAKING UNDER THE ARGENTINE AUTHORITARIAN REGIME: MILITARY POLITY AS CONSTITUENCY 43
C. INTER-SERVICE RIVALRY 47
D. CONCLUSION 48
V. SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 49
A. SUMMARY 49
B. IMPLICATIONS 50
C. GENERALIZABILITY OF THE FINDINGS 51
D. RECOMMENDATIONS 52
LIST OF REFERENCES 54
REQUEST FROM THE PUBLISHER 58
ABSTRACT
This thesis uses a historical case study approach to examine the impact of context on shaping decision making during the conduct of war. The case analyzed is the war between Argentina and Great Britain for control of the Falkland Islands in 1982. This thesis examines the relative strength of the belligerents’ positions using the concepts of force, time and space from current operational warfare doctrine and shows that British victory in the conflict was by no means a foregone conclusion. Next, an exploration of Argentine conduct of the war highlights and discusses in detail mistakes and errors in judgment that had direct impacts on battlefield results. These decisions are then traced to the context in which they were made. It is this context, specifically the power of limited war culture and to a lesser extent the strength of the military polity as a constituency, that explains the Argentine defeat in the Falklands.
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1. Satellite Image of the Falklands
Figure 2. HMS Sheffield on fire after being hit by Exocet missile
Figure 3. Royal Navy Sea Harriers
Figure 4. Map of Theater
Figure 5. General Belgrano Sinking
Figure 6. Argentine Super Etendard Firing Exocet Missile
Figure 7. Galtieri, Anaya and Dozo
Figure 8. 500 pound bomb explodes onboard HMS Antelope
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
I would like to thank Professor Jeanne Giraldo and Professor Mark ‘Marcos’ Berger for their hard work and support. There is no doubt that the quality of my thesis is a direct reflection of their professionalism and expertise. I would never have made it to graduate school, nor had the discipline and drive to finish a thesis without a long list of fantastic mentors during my previous tours of duty; I am indebted to Rear Admirals Phil Greene and ‘Buzz’ Buzby, Captain Douglas Venlet, Commander Dan Sunvold and Lieutenant Commander David Oden. The opportunity for graduate study was afforded to me because many of my friends, specifically Lieutenants Blythe Oraker and Gail Musson, were carrying out challenging assignments on the tip of the spear, their courage and dedication to duty motivated me to finish this project. Additionally, I would be remiss if I did not acknowledge the contributions of my classmates who challenged and inspired me. Finally, I could not have written my thesis without the love and support of my family and my fiancé Melissa.
I. INTRODUCTION
What, but a bleak and gloomy solitude, an island thrown aside from human use, stormy in winter, and barren in summer; an island which not even southern savages have dignified with habitation; where a garrison must be kept in a state that contemplates with envy the exiles of Siberia; of which the expence will be perpetual, and the use only occasional; and which, if fortune smiles upon our labours, may become a nest of smugglers in peace, and in war the refuge of future Buccaniers.
—Samuel Johnson (British author 1709-1784, writing about the Falklands){1}
In 1982, Argentina and the United Kingdom fought a short and decisive war in the South Atlantic over possession of the islands known as las Islas Malvinas, or the Falkland Islands. Politicians, military planners and warriors on both sides made decisions that were good and poor, analyses that were correct and wrong and assumptions that were true and false. In the end, however, it was the United Kingdom that achieved an unqualified victory on the battlefield. Immediately, military professionals and scholars began to analyze the factors that had led to the war’s outcome. The most frequent explanation to emerge from this debate is that British military superiority, reflected most prominently in their ground forces, simply overwhelmed the capabilities of the Argentine forces. This thesis will show that this was not the case and that, instead, poor Argentine conduct of the war was the primary reason for their defeat on the battlefield. While other analysts have pointed to the poor conduct of combat operations as the reason for defeat, they most often attribute this to inter-service rivalry.{2}However, the reality is that poor coordination between the services only played a minor part