China's Forbearance Has Limits: Chinese Threat and Retaliation Signaling and Its Implications for a Sino-American Military Confrontation - Maritime Claims, Senkaku and Spratly Islands, Taiwan
4/5
()
Currently unavailable
Currently unavailable
About this ebook
This report from the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs of the Institute for National Strategic Studies provides a thorough discussion of the use of the Chinese military in past and future confrontations, including historic information about previous signals of military intention and possible future military threats regarding disputed islands. Contents: The Record: Beijing's Use of Military Force * China's Crisis Decisionmaking Process and Crisis Management * Signaling the Intent to Employ Military Force— China's Warnings Calculus * Signaling Case Studies—Taiwan * Analyzing Beijing's Signals—Things to Consider * Conclusion—A Hypothetical South China Sea Signaling Scenario * Appendix 1. Chronology of the 1978-1979 Sino-Vietnamese Border Crisis * Appendix 2. Chronology of the 1961-1962 Sino-Indian Border Crisis * Appendix 3. PRC Signaling Over Taiwan: 1991, 1995, 1999, 2003-2004
Since its founding in 1949, the People's Republic of China (PRC) has employed military force in defense of China's security and territorial integrity. In many such instances, Beijing implemented a calculus of threat and retaliation signals intended first to deter an adversary from taking actions contrary to Chinese interests by threatening the use of military force and, if deterrence failed, to explain and justify Beijing's resort to military force.
This deterrence calculus was applied in each of the major instances in which Beijing has resorted to military force—in Korea in 1950, in the Sino-Indian border dispute in 1961-1962, in the Sino-Soviet border dispute in 1968-1969, and in China's attack on northern Vietnam in 1979. It was also applied in instances in which Beijing's effort at deterrence apparently succeeded and China ultimately stopped short of using military force. Examples include China's responses to the intensifying American combat effort in Vietnam in 1965-1968 and to the 1991 debates in Taipei about delimiting the Republic of China's sovereignty claims.
Beijing implements this deterrence calculus by a carefully calibrated hierarchy of official protests, authoritative press comment, and leadership statements. If the crisis persists and Beijing perceives its interests are not satisfactorily taken into account, its statements escalate in level and may include at first implicit and thereafter increasingly explicit warnings that it may use military force to achieve its goals. This approach has been employed consistently despite the sweeping changes in the PRC's place in the international order, the proliferation of foreign policy instruments at its disposal, the more complex crisis decisionmaking process and domestic political environment, and the dramatic evolution in the Chinese media over the decades. The question for U.S. policymakers is whether improving military capabilities will lead Beijing to substitute sudden or surprise attack for the politically calibrated deterrence signaling it has employed prior to its past use of force. This study assesses the problem in four ways.
In addition to the China paper, this unique collection of American military documents provides a special view of recent Chinese military and policy developments. Contents: China Shaping the Operational Environment - A Disciple on the Path of Deception and Influence * The "People" in the PLA: Recruitment, Training, and Education in China's 80-Year-Old Military * China's Maritime Quest * The PLA At Home and Abroad: Assessing The Operational Capabilities of China's Military * Arms Sales To Taiwan: Enjoy The Business While It Lasts * China's Role In The Stabilization Of Afghanistan * The Coming of Chinese Hawks * Turkey and China: Unlikely Strategic Partners. This ebook also includes the annual U.S. intelligence community worldwide threat assessment in Congressional testimony by Director of National Intelligence James R. Clapper Jr.
Progressive Management
Progressive Management: For over a quarter of a century, our news, educational, technical, scientific, and medical publications have made unique and valuable references accessible to all people. Our imprints include PM Medical Health News, Advanced Professional Education and News Service, Auto Racing Analysis, and World Spaceflight News. Many of our publications synthesize official information with original material. They are designed to provide a convenient user-friendly reference work to uniformly present authoritative knowledge that can be rapidly read, reviewed or searched. Vast archives of important data that might otherwise remain inaccessible are available for instant review no matter where you are. The e-book format makes a great reference work and educational tool. There is no other reference book that is as convenient, comprehensive, thoroughly researched, and portable - everything you need to know, from renowned experts you trust. Our e-books put knowledge at your fingertips, and an expert in your pocket!
Related to China's Forbearance Has Limits
Related ebooks
Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsFrom Red Cliffs to Chosin: the Chinese Way Of War Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsRise of iWar: Identity, Information, and the Individualization of Modern Warfare Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsThe Diffusion of Military Power: Causes and Consequences for International Politics Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Choosing Your Battles: American Civil-Military Relations and the Use of Force Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsImagined Enemies: China Prepares for Uncertain War Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Arming East Asia: Deterring China in the Early Cold War Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsMilitary Power: Explaining Victory and Defeat in Modern Battle Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Shaping Strategy: The Civil-Military Politics of Strategic Assessment Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsThe Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Full Spectrum Dominance: Irregular Warfare and the War on Terror Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsPLA Influence on China's National Security Policymaking Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsNot by War Alone: Security and Arms Control in the Middle East Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsThe Supply Side of Security: A Market Theory of Military Alliances Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsPolitics and Force Levels: The Strategic Missile Program of the Kennedy Administration Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsHarmony and War: Confucian Culture and Chinese Power Politics Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsHow 9/11 Changed Our Ways of War Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsFight of the Phoenix: Order of the Delta Dragon Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsChina's Energy Strategy: The Impact on Bejing's Maritime Policies Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsForeign Powers and Intervention in Armed Conflicts Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsLooking for Balance: China, the United States, and Power Balancing in East Asia Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsGrand Strategy and the Rise of China: Made in America Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsDefense 101: Understanding the Military of Today and Tomorrow Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsEngaging the Enemy: Organization Theory and Soviet Military Innovation, 1955-1991 Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsChina's Rise in the Global South: The Middle East, Africa, and Beijing's Alternative World Order Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsAnticipating a Nuclear Iran: Challenges for U.S. Security Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsNonstate Warfare: The Military Methods of Guerillas, Warlords, and Militias Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Science of War: Defense Budgeting, Military Technology, Logistics, and Combat Outcomes Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratingsBreaking the War Habit: The Debate over Militarism in American Education Rating: 0 out of 5 stars0 ratings
Wars & Military For You
Ordinary Men: Reserve Police Battalion 101 and the Final Solution in Poland Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Resistance: The Warsaw Ghetto Uprising Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5How to Hide an Empire: A History of the Greater United States Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Sun Tzu's The Art of War: Bilingual Edition Complete Chinese and English Text Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Ethnic Cleansing of Palestine Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Masters of the Air: America's Bomber Boys Who Fought the Air War Against Nazi Germany Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Last Kingdom Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Art of War Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5On Killing: The Psychological Cost of Learning to Kill in War and Society Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5A Daily Creativity Journal Rating: 3 out of 5 stars3/5Killing the SS: The Hunt for the Worst War Criminals in History Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5They Thought They Were Free: The Germans, 1933–45 Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The God Delusion Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Making of the Atomic Bomb Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5The Heart of Everything That Is: The Untold Story of Red Cloud, An American Legend Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Unit 731: Testimony Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5When I Come Home Again: 'A page-turning literary gem' THE TIMES, BEST BOOKS OF 2020 Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Art of War & Other Classics of Eastern Philosophy Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Band of Brothers: E Company, 506th Regiment, 101st Airborne from Normandy to Hitler's Eagle's Nest Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5The History of the Peloponnesian War: With linked Table of Contents Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Afghanistan Papers: A Secret History of the War Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5Washington: The Indispensable Man Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5The Only Plane in the Sky: An Oral History of 9/11 Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5The Faithful Spy: Dietrich Bonhoeffer and the Plot to Kill Hitler Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5The Girls of Atomic City: The Untold Story of the Women Who Helped Win World War II Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/577 Days of February: Living and Dying in Ukraine, Told by the Nation’s Own Journalists Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5
Reviews for China's Forbearance Has Limits
1 rating0 reviews